Política de desenvolvimento turístico e utilização da análise de cenários: um modelo de síntese
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.25145/j.pasos.2022.20.074Palavras-chave:
Análise de cenários, COVID-19, Formuladores de políticas, Processos de desenvolvimento de cenários, Política de desenvolvimento turísticoResumo
A pandemia da COVID-19 fez-nos aprender a viver com um sentido renovado de limites e um novo nível de incerteza. Uma das respostas de governação que emergiu deste cenário foi a mudança para a análise de cenários, o que gera narrativas sobre múltiplas possibilidades futuras. Este artigo tenta responder às questões de porquê e como utilizar a análise de cenários ao definir a política de desenvolvimento turístico. Uma revisão semi-sistemática deste estudo é realizada com a intenção de alargar o campo de discussão e explorar novas vias ligadas ao tema da política de desenvolvimento turístico. No que respeita à política de desenvolvimento turístico, a utilização de cenários pode ser uma técnica experimental valiosa para o desenvolvimento de ideias inovadoras. Para o efeito, este artigo propõe um modelo de processo de desenvolvimento de um cenário para os decisores políticos e decisores.
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