Tourism and economic growth: the case of Uruguay

Authors

  • Juan Gabriel Brida
  • Bibiana Lanzilotta
  • Wiston Adrián Risso

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25145/j.pasos.2008.06.036

Keywords:

economic growth, tourism earnings, Johansen cointegration, test, Granger causality

Abstract

Argentine is the principal source of tourism in the Uruguayan case. Its effects in the economic growth is analyzed in the present paper by using quarterly data from 1987.I to 2006.IV. Co-integration analy- sis shows the existence of one cointegrated vector among real per capita GDP, Argentinean tourism expendi- ture, and real exchange rate between Uruguay and Argentine. Granger-causality test suggests that causality positively goes in one way from expenditure to real per capita GDP.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Juan Gabriel Brida

Juan Gabriel Brida . School of Economics and Management - Free University of Bolzano, Italy.

Bibiana Lanzilotta

Bibiana Lanzilotta. CINVE, Uruguay.

Wiston Adrián Risso

Wiston Adrián Risso. Department of Economics - University of Siena, Italy.

References

Armellini y Revertía 2003 “Turismo receptivo en Uruguay: una evaluación del aporte alproducto, el empleo y las remuneraciones.” Documento presentado en las XVIII Jornadas del Banco Central del Uruguay. Montevideo.

Balaguer, J.; y Cantavella-Jorda, M. 2002 “Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case”, Applied Economics, Vol. 34, pp. 877-884.

Banerjee, A.; Dolado, J.; Galbraith, J.; Hendry, D. 1993 Co-integration, Error-correction, and the Econometric Analysis of the Non- Stationary Data, Oxford University Press.

Bhagwati, J.; Srinivasan, T. 1979 “Trade policy and development”, en Dornbunsch, R., y Frenkel, J., eds., International Economic Policy: Theory and Evidence, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, MD, pp. 1-35.

Cortés-Jimenez, I.; Pulina, M. 2006 “Tourism and growth: Evidence for Spain and Italy”, 46th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, University of Thessaly, Greece.

Dritsakis, Nikolaos 2004 “Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: an empirical investigation for Greece using causality analysis”, Tourism Economics, 2004, Vol. 10 (3), pp. 305-316.

Engle, R.; Granger, C. 1987 "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing", Econometrica, Vol. 55, pp. 251-276.

Hazari, B.R.; Sgro, P.M. 1995 “Tourism and growth in a dynamic model of trade”, The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, Vol.4, pp. 253-256.

Helpman, E.; Krugman 1985 Innovation and gowth in the global economy. MIT Press, Cambridge.

Johansen, S. 1988 "Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 12, pp. 231-254.

Johansen, S.; Juselius, K. 1990 "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration-with applications to the Demand for Money", Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52, pp. 169-210.

Krueger, A. 1980 “Trade Policy as an input to develop- ment”, American Economic Review, Vol. 70, pp. 188-292.

Louca, C. 2006 “Income and expenditure in the tour- ism industry: time series evidence from Cyprus”, Tourism Economics, Vol. 12, 4, pp. 603-617.

Mantero, R., N. Perelmuter e I. Sueiro 2004 “Determinantes Económicos Del Tu- rismo Receptivo En Uruguay: ¿Aporta Información Relevante Un Análisis Des- agregado?”. CINVE. Mimeo.

McCallum, B. 1984 "On Low-Frequency Estimates of Long-Run Relationships in Macroeco- nomics", Journal of Monetary Econom- ics, Vol. 14, pp. 3-14.

McKinnon, R. 1964 “Foreign exchange constraint in eco- nomic development and efficient aid al- location”, Economic Journal, Vol. 74, pp. 388-409.

Phillips, P. 1986 "Understanding Spurious Regressions in Econometrics", Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 33, pp. 311-340.

Robano, Virginia 2000 “Determinantes del Turismo Receptivo en Uruguay”. XV Jornadas de Economía del Banco Central del Uruguay. (Uruguay)

Published

2008-10-21

How to Cite

Brida, J. G., Lanzilotta, B., & Risso, W. A. (2008). Tourism and economic growth: the case of Uruguay. PASOS Revista De Turismo Y Patrimonio Cultural, 6(3), 481–492. https://doi.org/10.25145/j.pasos.2008.06.036